Unique Three-River Bottom Candle Pattern

 

Unique Three-River Bottom Candlestick: Summary

 

The unique three-river bottom candlestick is supposed to be a bullish reversal, but it actually acts as a bearish continuation, that is, if you can find it. The candle pattern has a frequency rank of 89 where 1 is the most popular candle out of 103 candle types. Overall performance is beyond the far side of mid list, too, and that means it does not perform well.

 

 

Unique Three-River Bottom Candlestick: Important Results

 

Theoretical performance: Bullish reversal
Tested performance: Bearish continuation 60% of the time
Frequency rank: 89
Overall performance rank: 60
Best percentage meeting price target: 52% (bull market, up breakout)
Best average move in 10 days: -5.60% (bear market, down breakout)
Best 10-day performance rank: 25 (bear market, down breakout)

All ranks are out of 103 candlestick patterns with the top performer ranking 1. “Best” means the highest rated of the four combinations of bull/bear market, up/down breakouts.

The above numbers are based on hundreds of perfect trades. See the glossary for definitions.

The ideal unique three-river bottom candlestick

Unique Three-River Bottom

 

Unique Three-River Bottom Candlestick: Discussion

 

The best average move 10 days after the breakout is a drop of 5.6% in a bear market. That ranks 25th. I consider moves of 6% or higher to be good ones, so this candle comes close. Taking a closer look at the performance numbers reveals that the unique three-river bottom does best in a bear market, regardless of the breakout direction. However, the sample size is very small, 13 or fewer. In fact, I found only 80 out of over 4.7 million candle lines.

 

Unique Three-River Bottom Candlestick: Identification Guidelines

 

CharacteristicDiscussion
Number of candle linesThree.
Price trend leading to the patternDownward.
ConfigurationLook for a tall bodied black candle in a downward price trend. Following that, another black body rests inside the prior body, but the lower shadow is below the prior day’s low. The last day is a short bodied white candle that remains below the body of the prior candle.

 

Unique Three-River Bottom Candlestick: Three Trading Tidbits

 

The unique three-river bottom candlestick on the daily scale

 

  1. Unique three-river bottom candles that appear within a third of the yearly low act as continuations most often — page 867.
  2. Select tall candles for the best performance — page 864.
  3. Trade a downward breakout from the candle in a downward primary trend — page 866.

 

Unique Three-River Bottom Candlestick: Example

 

In this example, price is trending lower and the candle appears. The breakout is downward from this unique three-river bottom when price closes below the bottom of it. Since price moves downward into the candle and exits out the bottom, the candle pattern acts as a continuation of the bearish price trend.

 

If the downward price trend leading to the candle pattern were longer, say by a few more weeks, then this chart would represent the idea trading setup. Price trends lower into the unique three-river bottom and the stock breaks out downward. That setup means you should be trading with the trend — downward.

 

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